Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 77.8%
Prognostiker
2
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 17:15 UTC23. Okt. 26, 17:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?
PolymarketHow are party-list seats divided in Russian state Duma in 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketVictoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
KalshiBosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the electoral list backed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) wins strictly more seats than every other individual electoral list in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election.
- For resolution purposes, the “SNS-led list” means the officially certified electoral list that includes or is formally backed by the Serbian Progressive Party, regardless of its exact ballot or campaign name.
- The market resolves NO if any other individual electoral list wins more seats than the SNS-led list.
- If the SNS-led list ties another list for the largest number of seats, the market resolves NO, since SNS must hold the largest seat total outright.
- Resolution will be based on the final official seat allocation published by Serbia’s Republic Electoral Commission (RIK).
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+12.0pt81.2%
- Yes-12.0pt18.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.3pt19%
- Jon Ossoff+0.8pt17%
- Gavin Newsom+0.5pt13%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+3.0pt50%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt34%
- R-House, R-Senate-3.0pt14%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 188,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 675.810,8 €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-2.0pt63%
- Nithya Raman+3.0pt37%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 642.577,1 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.5pt52.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt45.5%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Texas Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 78% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird 🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election? entschieden?
- 🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election? soll am 23. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 🇷🇸 Will the SNS-led list win the most seats in Serbia’s 2026 parliamentary election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria