Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Labor 76.5%-11.5ptFührend unter 4 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
271,1 €
Liquidität
9004,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-6.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 09:36 UTC28. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketVictoria Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketVictoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
KalshiMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketSwedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiIsraeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiRegeln
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition.
- Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
- Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 847.662,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 668.756,2 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket bewertet Labor mit 77% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place entschieden?
- Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place soll am 28. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.