KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 5% 99%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
629,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
12.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
21. Aug. 26, 19:00 UTC6. Sept. 27, 16:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by BSW in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Saxony-Anhalt state election: BSW vote percent?
- Kalshi bewertet At least 5% mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Saxony-Anhalt state election: BSW vote percent entschieden?
- Saxony-Anhalt state election: BSW vote percent soll am 6. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Saxony-Anhalt state election: BSW vote percent abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by BSW in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.