KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 42% 98%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
41 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
2790 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
21. Aug. 26, 19:00 UTC6. Sept. 27, 16:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by AfD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is the Alternative for Germany's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent?
- Kalshi bewertet At least 42% mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent entschieden?
- Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent soll am 6. September 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by AfD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.