KalshiGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Above 48 (98%)
Entschieden: 15.09.2026, 19:52
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Gewinnausgang
Above 48
7 Tage vorher
—
24 Stunden vorher
—
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 48 90.7%Führend unter 8 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
16.285,1 €
Liquidität
14.174,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert15. Sept. 26, 15:15 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Above 6019%
Above 5828%
Above 5649%
Above 6212%
Above 5278%
Above 540%
Above 5084%
Above 4898%
90.7%
1.9%
1.9%
1.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
0.9%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiRegeln
If the number of Senators voting Yea on the motion to invoke cloture on the motion to proceed to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act before Jan 1, 2027 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Library of Congress
- The vote must occur in the relevant full chamber (that is, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote).
- If no vote has occurred before the specified date, then any market not including "zero" within its count (e.g. "Between 50 and 64") resolves to No, and any market including "zero" (e.g. "Below 50") resolves to Yes.
- If the vote count is not specified but the bill is passed, any market including "100" for the Senate and "435" for the House of Representatives (e.g. "Between 65 and 100" or "Between 300 and 435") will resolve to Yes, and any market not including "100" or "435", respectively, (e.g. "Below 65") resolves to No. Once the market has expired, a request by any Member of Congress to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other official source.