KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 20.09.2026, 00:25 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
MiniMax 1%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
34 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
7326,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
89.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
18. Sept. 26, 16:00 UTC25. Sept. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PolymarketWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Artificial Analysis - Video Arena
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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- If MiniMax is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-8.5pt77%
- December 15,-22.5pt60%
- November 30,-27.0pt51%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 199.160,7 €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+1.5pt14.4%
- Gemini+1.9pt9.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10 Mio. €
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 23.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 22.7%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 153.063,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.5%+9.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 5.6%+45.0pt91%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 171.032,1 €
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 199.377,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Top Text to Speech AI this week
- Top Text to Image AI this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 14–20
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Top Text to Video AI this week?
- Kalshi bewertet MiniMax mit 1% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Top Text to Video AI this week entschieden?
- Top Text to Video AI this week soll am 25. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Top Text to Video AI this week abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Google is the #1 model on Artificial Analysis Text to Video Leaderboard (With Audio) on Sep 25, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.