Aktuelle Community-Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet13. März 24, 15:22 UTC2. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBest Video Generation Model (by company/organization) EOY 2026
Manifold Markets3x3x3 Rubik's Cube solved by video generation model by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketTop Text to Video AI this week
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if, by January 1, 2027, I can prompt a text-to-video generator to create a 1 minute video and get a result meeting the following criteria:
- I have to wait no more than one second for the video to load (either at the beginning or anywhere in the middle)
- At least 1080p resolution
- At least 24 frames per second
- Subjectively, at least as realistic and visually appealing as the "stylish woman walks down a Tokyo street" example from Sora
- If I wanted to, I could do this 100 times on the same day and pay less than $20 (this accounts for various pricing schemes, e.g. subscription-based or pay-per-video)
Offene Märkte
SportsKALSHIFlorida St. vs Alabama
- Alabama-4.0pt87%
- Florida St.+3.0pt13%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 8,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8 Mio. €
KALSHILSU vs Ole Miss
- LSU+1.0pt59.4%
- Ole Miss40.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6,8 Mio. €
KALSHIFlorida St. vs Alabama: Spread
- Alabama wins by over 1.5 points-5.0pt86%
- Alabama wins by over 2.5 points-6.0pt83%
- Alabama wins by over 4.5 points-5.0pt79%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHILSU vs Ole Miss: Spread
- LSU wins by over 1.5 points-1.0pt56%
- LSU wins by over 2.5 points-1.0pt54%
- LSU wins by over 3.5 points+5.0pt50%
+26 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
- Game 2 Winner+34.5pt100%
- Games Total: O/U 3.5 — Over+34.5pt100%
- Any Player Quadra Kill+61.0pt100%
+66 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBiltmore Championship Asheville Winner
- Neal Shipley+12.0pt41.8%
- Ben Kohles+6.0pt30.6%
- Eric Cole+1.1pt6.1%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Mississippi St. vs South Carolina
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- 331: Van vs Pantoja
- Mississippi St. vs South Carolina: Spread
- Southeastern Louisiana vs Louisiana-Monroe
- BMW PGA Championship Winner
- Florida vs Auburn
- Michigan St. vs Notre Dame
- Colorado vs Northwestern
- 331: Tsarukyan vs Ruffy
- Central Connecticut St. vs Montana St.
- College Football National Championship Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 77% (Stand: 19. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027? entschieden?
- Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if, by January 1, 2027, I can prompt a text-to-video generator to create a 1 minute video and get a result meeting the following criteria: