KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 21, 2029 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 21, 2029 15.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before Jan 21, 2029 15.5%Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
10,2 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 21, 2029Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
20. Aug. 26, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 21, 2029
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PolymarketWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
LimitlessWill trump make another absurd promise?
Manifold MarketsWill President Trump make a major Gaffe During the Mid terms
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump make an endorsement or comment on the NZ election before polls close?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment after Issuance and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBBCThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBC
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. A recess appointment means an appointment to a position that would otherwise require Senate confirmation, made using the power given to the President in the recess appointments clause (Article II, Section 2, Clause 3) of the Constitution. One appointee is enough. If an appointment is later ruled illegal by the Supreme Court of the United States, or another federal court, this market's resolution will not change. An acting official designated under the Federal Vacancies Reform Act does NOT count.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 21, 2029
- If President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment after Issuance and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If President Donald Trump makes a recess appointment after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.