KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 4%+0.1pt
Marktqualitat
70 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
766,9 €
Liquidität
265.906,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.9% / 3.8%
Spread
1.9 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
1. März 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will US president Donald Trump visit Iran in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWhich states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat countries will Donald Trump visit in the remainder of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
LimitlessRegeln
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads inDonald Trumpofficial government sources of Iranofficial representatives or offices of Donald TrumpThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBC
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Donald Trump visit Iran??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2027 mit 4% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Donald Trump visit Iran? entschieden?
- Will Donald Trump visit Iran? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Donald Trump visit Iran? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.