KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
4 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
4 47.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
4 47.5%Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
467,3 €
Open Interest
335,5 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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4Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
1. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 4
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026?
KalshiWill a Mar-a-Lago accord be announced by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Nov 2026?
KalshiWill Vladimir Putin visit Mar-a-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong-Un visit Mar-a-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill MBS visit Mar-a-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Donald Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:official schedules of the Presidentreleases and public statements of White HouseFox NewsBBCThe InformationMSNBCSemaforBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalABCDonald TrumpReutersofficial government sources of FloridaThe GuardianAxiosofficial social media accounts of Donald Trump or his official representativesCNNthe White HouseThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoThe Washington Postthe Associated PressCBS
- A single visit begins when Donald Trump arrives in Mar-a-Lago and ends when Donald Trump has left Mar-a-Lago. A visit need not end to be included — i.e., if Nov 2026 ends with Donald Trump still there, that visit counts for the purposes of the count. If Donald Trump is in Mar-a-Lago at the beginning of Nov 2026, that will count as a visit. Multiple separate visits during Nov 2026 count individually.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 4
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 4 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 3 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5 or more
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 5 or more trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 1 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 0
- If Donald Trump makes exactly 0 trips to Mar-a-Lago in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
