KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Jeff Bezos 27%-7.0ptFührend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1144,7 €
Liquidität
14.664,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
8. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill they announce a presidential library at Trump's Mar-A-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
KalshiIran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
PolymarketEileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
PolymarketRegeln
If the named outcome has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported.
- Reporting also includes reporting on other sources, e.g. if The New York Times report that Bloomberg reported a given person visited, or that Donald Trump said someone has visited, that would also be encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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+45 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 193,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 710.810,1 €
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+34 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 1,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 584.570,8 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 407.519,2 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Jeff Bezos mit 27% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? entschieden?
- Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.