Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Claude 9%+1.0%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6773,5 €
Liquidität
7122,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
75.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 32 Minuten
20. Juli 26, 16:0027. Juli 26, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Claude9%
Volumentrend
$7.7k20. Juli3T Daten22. Juli
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If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ChatGPT is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Grok is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.