Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
July 17 57%+0.5%Führend unter 32 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
5379,5 €
Liquidität
101.255 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
57.3% / 57.4%
Spread
0.2%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+38.9%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
26. Juni 26, 21:5031. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
July 1757%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
17.0%5T
-17.0%18%
-10.0%37%
1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen5587 €
24h-Volumen269,7 €
KALSHI
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
When will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro?
6Mon
3.5%
25.3%
36.5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen1460,6 €
24h-Volumen236,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Which company has best AI model end of July?
321.838,2 €Anthropic: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6146,3 €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
4966 €July 31: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
4307,6 €Ja: 43%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAnthropic acquired by Apple before 2030?
1762,4 €Ja: 2.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
1325,3 €Ja: 5.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
Google Unveils Gemini 3.5, Android 17 AI Features in June 2026Blockchain.News
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
Anthropic Launches Claude Sonnet 5: Mid-Tier AI with Opus-Level FeaturesBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsTogether AI Raises $800M Series C for Open-Source AI PushBlockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.