Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Baidu 1%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
77 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
28.555,8 €
Liquidität
25.039,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
21. Juli 26, 2:0027. Juli 26, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Baidu1%
Große Trades
$1.4k99.0%
KALSHITencent — Novor 9 Std.
KALSHITencent — Novor 9 Std.$1.1k99.0%KALSHIMiniMax — Novor 9 Std.
KALSHIMiniMax — Novor 9 Std.Verwandte Märkte
Best Chinese AI Company this month
188,5 €Tencent: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1141,9 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
315,6 €Ja: 84.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
1892,9 €#10: 99%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETSOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis)
43,8 €Ja: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
3948,2 €Other: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Moonshot is the Highest Ranked Chinese AI Company model on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) on Jul 27, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qualifying Chinese AI companies are defined as a company whose global or primary operational headquarters is located in mainland China.
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
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