KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
10% or above · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
10% or above 81%Führend unter 4 Optionen
10% or above 81%Marktqualitat
27 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,5 €
Open Interest
77,9 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
10% or aboveSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
23. Juli 26, 17:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 10% or above
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiWhat will the tariff rate on EU imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiWhat will the tariff rate on Mexican imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiWhat will the tariff rate on Canadian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
KalshiU.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill India start building another military base in the southwest Indian Ocean before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the general import tariff rate on imports from India into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street Journalthe United States CongressSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPoliticoThe New York Timesthe President of the United StatesWhite HouseBloomberg NewsNBC
- The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect (i.e., being collected) on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the general import tariff rate is the sum of all applicable general rates in effect. Examples (for date = Jan 1, 2026): India: 25% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326) + 25% Russian Oil Penalty (EO 14329) = 50% China: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14358) + 10% Fentanyl Duty (EO 14357) = 20% European Union: 15% Reciprocal Tariff "Floor" (EO 14326) Falkland Islands: 10% Reciprocal Tariff (EO 14326)
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 10% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from India into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 20% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from India into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 20%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 30% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from India into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 30%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 50% or above
- If the general import tariff rate on imports from India into the United States on Jan 1, 2027 is at least 50%, then the market resolves to Yes.