Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Eduardo Paes 89%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
1563,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
89.0% / 94.0%
Spread
5.6%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
25. Apr. 26, 14:004. Okt. 27, 14:00
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Eduardo Paes89%
Plattformen vergleichen· Eduardo Paes
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
0.3%2Mon
-0.3%94%
50%
50%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
91 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen209.451,8 €
24h-Volumen512,7 €
POLYMARKET
Auch verfügbar auf Futuur
Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026
2Mon
92%
13%
4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
40 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen280,9 €
24h-Volumen280,9 €
FUTUURRegeln
If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$25. Juli4T Daten8. Juli
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If Eduardo Paes wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.