KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Eduardo Paes 92.4%Führend unter 4 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1669,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
25. Apr. 26, 14:004. Okt. 27, 14:00
Trends
0%
Regeln
If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins.
- If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified
- For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements).
- If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met
- For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
4 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Eduardo Paes liegt bei 92%. Die Kurse liegen rund 24 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz Eduardo Paes 92% · 4 Plattformen · 24 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner · Eduardo Paes 93%
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — Elected Governor of Rio de Janeiro in 2026 · Eduardo Paes 72%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Rio de Janeiro Governor winner??
- Kalshi bewertet Eduardo Paes mit 92% (Stand: 4. September 2026).
- Wann wird Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? entschieden?
- Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? soll am 4. Oktober 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Rio de Janeiro Governor winner? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket, Limitless, Futuur gelistet.