KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 22.09.2026, 02:35 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 20, 2029 45%
Marktqualitat
48 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
7551,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
8.0% / 12.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
14. Jan. 26, 22:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump recognize Taiwan?
KalshiWill the US recognize Somaliland before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before the video game Grand Theft Auto 6 is released?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:White House
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.
- Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state.
Offene Märkte
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- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
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KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-7.0pt56%
- Nithya Raman+6.0pt44%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 537.179,8 €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Trump recognize Somaliland??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 20, 2029 mit 45% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Trump recognize Somaliland? entschieden?
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Trump recognize Somaliland? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.