KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 22%-4.0ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
55 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
124,1 €
Liquidität
31.012,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
24. Juni 26, 19:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWill the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by which date?
PolymarketWill the House pass a reconciliation bill by Sept. 30?
PredictItWhen will a reconciliation bill become law?
KalshiWill the House pass any articles of impeachment by the end of 2026?
PredictItWill the House pass additional defense funding?
KalshiRegeln
If a reconciliation bill passes the House before August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Library of Congress
- Such bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to…"
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before September 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before October 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before November 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a reconciliation bill passes the House before December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the House pass a reconciliation bill??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2027 mit 22% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? entschieden?
- When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the House pass a reconciliation bill? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a reconciliation bill passes the House before August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.