Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für No reconciliation bill passes in 2026??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 86.5% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird No reconciliation bill passes in 2026? entschieden?

No reconciliation bill passes in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.

One-OffUS-Politik2Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Ja 86.5%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden

Veraltet

6. Jan. 26, 00:52 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.

Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
Original prediction: "No reconciliation bill passes" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.