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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

8.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl11Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Josh Turek, 20-25%
Josh Turek, 20-25% 1%-8.0%
Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

77,6 €

Liquidität

157,4 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

2. Juni 26, 19:003. Juni 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Josh Turek, 20-25%1%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

33.1%Geschlossen
Turek 20–30%
Turek 20–30%
+0.8%99%
Other
Other
50%
Turek <10%
Turek <10%
+33.1%37%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

40 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen4493,1 €
24h-Volumen0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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874,7 €
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Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

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South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

66,5 €
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South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

46 €
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Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

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38,9 €
Shenna Bellows wins: 20%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,960.93+2.50%EthereumETH$1,661.06+1.77%SolanaSOL$65.40+1.70%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.56%XRPXRP$1.12+0.42%BNBBNB$597.20+1.83%

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Regeln

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.