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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)
Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl1J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Shenna Bellows wins
Shenna Bellows wins 20%
Führend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

38,9 €

Liquidität

36 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

19.0% / 20.0%

Spread

5.3%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

10. Juni 26, 15:003. Nov. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Shenna Bellows wins20%

Regeln

If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Verwandte Märkte

Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

874,7 €
Karen Bass, 4-8%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

163,4 €
Graham Platner, ≥50%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

106,7 €
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%: 22%KalshiKALSHI
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

77,6 €
Josh Turek, 20-25%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

66,5 €
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

46 €
Pamela Evette, 0-5%: 98%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,960.93+2.50%EthereumETH$1,661.06+1.77%SolanaSOL$65.40+1.70%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.56%XRPXRP$1.12+0.42%BNBBNB$597.20+1.83%

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Regeln

If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.