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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

2.0% (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl12Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%
Lindsey Graham, 25-30% 99%+2.0%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat

49 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

66,5 €

Liquidität

351,4 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

98.0% / 99.0%

Spread

1.0%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

8. Juni 26, 17:009. Juni 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Lindsey Graham, 25-30%99%

Regeln

If the margin of victory for Lindsey Graham in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary falls within 0% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lindsey Graham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham wins, or the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Verwandte Märkte

Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

874,5 €
Karen Bass, 4-8%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

144,7 €
Graham Platner, ≥50%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

106,7 €
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%: 22%KalshiKALSHI
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

77,6 €
Josh Turek, 20-25%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

38,9 €
Shenna Bellows wins: 20%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

31,5 €
Pamela Evette, 0-5%: 98%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,708.86+1.68%EthereumETH$1,653.83+0.97%SolanaSOL$64.96+0.65%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.80%XRPXRP$1.11-0.30%BNBBNB$597.21+1.54%

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Regeln

If the margin of victory for Lindsey Graham in the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate primary falls within 0% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lindsey Graham minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lindsey Graham if Lindsey Graham wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Lindsey Graham loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham wins, or the electoral votes received by Lindsey Graham minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Lindsey Graham does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.