KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbdul El-Sayed, 6-9% 13%+1.0%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5027,3 €
Liquidität
72.824,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
40.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
8. Juni 26, 17:304. Aug. 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%13%
Große Trades
$1.8k76.0%KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed, ≥15% — Novor 17 Tagen
KALSHIAbdul El-Sayed, ≥15% — Novor 17 TagenVolumentrend
$5.7k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
South Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)
3606,3 €Darline Graham, 0-5%: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIWisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
1179,3 €Francesca Hong, ≥15%: 49%KALSHI
KALSHIMO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
1002,3 €Wesley Bell, 6-9%: 71%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)
637,3 €Larry Rhoden, ≥25%: 89%KALSHI
KALSHIAZ-05 Republican primary margin of victory?
103,5 €Mark Lamb, 15-20%: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?
13,7 €Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.