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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

14.0% (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl1J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9% 22%+14.0%
Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

106,7 €

Liquidität

108,2 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

8. Juni 26, 17:304. Aug. 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%22%

Regeln

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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874,7 €
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Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

Margin of victory in the Maine Democratic Senate primary?

161,5 €
Graham Platner, ≥50%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
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Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

77,6 €
Josh Turek, 20-25%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

South Carolina Republican Senate primary margin of victory?

66,5 €
Lindsey Graham, 25-30%: 99%KalshiKALSHI
South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

46 €
Pamela Evette, 0-5%: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

38,9 €
Shenna Bellows wins: 20%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,909.82+2.43%EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.79%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.68%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.53%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%BNBBNB$596.84+1.85%

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Regeln

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.