KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitMark Lamb, 15-20% 99%+1.0%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
103,5 €
Liquidität
5408,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
99.0% / 100.0%
Spread
1.0%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
17. Juli 26, 19:0421. Juli 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Mark Lamb, 15-20%99%
Volumentrend
$11817. Juli9T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
5027,3 €Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%: 13%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary margin of victory? (1st Round)
3606,3 €Darline Graham, 0-5%: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIWisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?
1179,3 €Francesca Hong, ≥15%: 49%KALSHI
KALSHIMO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?
1002,3 €Wesley Bell, 6-9%: 71%KALSHI
KALSHISouth Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)
637,3 €Larry Rhoden, ≥25%: 89%KALSHI
KALSHIFL-06 Republican primary margin of victory?
13,7 €Dan Bilzerian, 5-10%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the margin of victory for Daniel Keenan in the 2026 AZ-05 Republican primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Daniel Keenan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Daniel Keenan if Daniel Keenan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Daniel Keenan loses.
- If Daniel Keenan wins, the margin will be positive; if Daniel Keenan loses, the margin will be negative; if Daniel Keenan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Daniel Keenan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.