Dieser Markt ist geschlossen und wartet auf eine bestätigte Auflösung.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Turek 20–30% 99%+0.8%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
40 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
4117,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.1% / 64.5%
Spread
64400.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+31.4%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
2. Juni 26, 16:002. Juni 26, 16:00
Trends
99%
50%
34%
32%
10%
1%
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Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
8.0%11Mon
-8.0%1%
+11.0%99%
-1.0%2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen314,6 €
24h-Volumen77,7 €
KALSHIRegeln
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
- The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
- If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.