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  3. How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?

Health & MedicineWissenschaftYearly6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 10
Above 10 62%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

1,6 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

63.0% / 69.0%

Spread

9.5%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

14. Mai 26, 14:001. Jan. 27, 14:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Above 1062%

Regeln

If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 10, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8).
  • Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026.
  • See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
  • If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 15, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 20, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Regeln

If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 10, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8).
  • Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026.
  • See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
  • If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 15, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 20, then the market resolves to Yes.