How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
8.0 Pkt. (24h)Health & MedicineWissenschaftYearly5Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 10 85%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
42 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
166,8 €
Liquidität
1515,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
21.0% / 27.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 26 Minuten
14. Mai 26, 14:001. Jan. 27, 14:59
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If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 10, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8).
- Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026.
- See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized.
- This market refers exclusively to human cases.
- If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 15, then the market resolves to Yes.