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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Texas's 15th District margin of victory
Texas's 15th District margin of victory

Texas's 15th District margin of victory

6.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl1J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Democrats, 8+ pts
Democrats, 8+ pts 32%+6.0%
Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0,9 €

Liquidität

6,5 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

28.0% / 33.0%

Spread

17.9%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

5. Mai 26, 20:213. Nov. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Democrats, 8+ pts32%

Regeln

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Texas's 15th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Verwandte Märkte

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

35,5 €
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts: 100%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

6,2 €
Republicans, 1+ pts: 35%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

5,1 €
Democrats, 3+ pts: 58%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor margin of victory

3 €
Republicans, 3+ pts: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

2,5 €
Ken Paxton, 3+ pts: 48%KalshiKALSHI
Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

1,8 €
Democrats, 4+ pts: 28%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,839.49+0.01%EthereumETH$1,674.06-0.18%SolanaSOL$67.43+0.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.0873+0.72%XRPXRP$1.14+0.06%BNBBNB$604.94-0.32%

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Regeln

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Texas's 15th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.