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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory
Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory

Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory

One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl1J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Republicans, 15+ pts
Republicans, 15+ pts 85%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

1,6 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

83.0% / 90.1%

Spread

8.6%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

5. Mai 26, 20:233. Nov. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Republicans, 18+ pts
Republicans, 18+ pts
0%
Republicans, 21+ pts
Republicans, 21+ pts
0%
Republicans, 24+ pts
Republicans, 24+ pts
0%
Republicans, 27+ pts
Republicans, 27+ pts
0%
Republicans, 30+ pts
Republicans, 30+ pts
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Republicans, 15+ pts85%

Regeln

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Michigan's 2nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.

Verwandte Märkte

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

35,5 €
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts: 100%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

5,7 €
Republicans, 1+ pts: 35%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor margin of victory

3 €
Republicans, 3+ pts: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

2,5 €
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts: 17%KalshiKALSHI
California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

2,2 €
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts: 90%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

2,1 €
Democrats, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,568.06+0.22%EthereumETH$1,665.00-0.40%SolanaSOL$66.84+0.02%DogecoinDOGE$0.0863-0.04%XRPXRP$1.13-0.83%BNBBNB$603.48+0.05%

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Regeln

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.

Kalshi
  • House of Representatives election in Michigan's 2nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.