KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Moolenaar, 15+ pts 85%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
474,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
8.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
5. Mai 26, 20:23 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 2nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory?
- Kalshi bewertet Moolenaar, 15+ pts mit 85% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory entschieden?
- Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Michigan's 2nd District margin of victory abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 2nd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.