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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Technik
  3. Who will go on TBPN this year?
Who will go on TBPN this year?

Who will go on TBPN this year?

TechnikYearlyBusiness & Corporate6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Sam Altman
Sam Altman 79%
Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat

24 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

7,9 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

60.0% / 72.0%

Spread

20.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

3. Apr. 26, 14:001. Jan. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Sam Altman79%

Regeln

If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Sam Altman), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Mark Zuckerberg), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
  • If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Satya Nadella), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.

Verwandte Märkte

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

90,5 €
Ja: 2%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

69,4 €
Ja: 89.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

24 €
Up: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?

Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?

6,8 €
At least 4,700: 67%KalshiKALSHI
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

4,3 €
Amazon: 6%KalshiKALSHI
X re-launches Vine this year?

X re-launches Vine this year?

0,2 €
Ja: 18%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,966.77+1.74%SolanaSOL$65.61+1.44%EthereumETH$1,650.46+0.59%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.03%BNBBNB$600.51+1.56%XRPXRP$1.11-0.64%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Amazon signs Corning fiber deal to expand U.S. data centersCrypto NewsGoogle Unveils Gemini 3.5 and AI Upgrades at I/O 2026Blockchain.NewsNvidia may power Apple’s biggest Siri upgrade after years of delayCrypto NewsBig tech is 'terrified' of AI agents wiping out ad revenue, says Billions Network CEOCoindeskModern robots impress, but are years away from replacing humansCointelegraphNVIDIA NemoClaw Debuts at COMPUTEX, Revolutionizing AI EngineersBlockchain.News

Regeln

If Sam Altman is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Sam Altman appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Sam Altman), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Mark Zuckerberg), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.
  • If Satya Nadella is on TBPN after April 03,2026 at 10:00AM and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Satya Nadella appears solely in an advertisement, or solely via a prerecorded audioclip that was not recorded for purposes of TBPN (e.g., the host playing a portion of a speech or song excerpt by Satya Nadella), the Payout Criterion is not satisfied.