KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 20.09.2026, 21:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Mike Johnson 9%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
18.868,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
26. Feb. 26, 15:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
LA-02 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiLA-05 Republican nominee?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsJD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
Manifold MarketsWill Nikki Haley be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Republican Party of Louisiana
- **Important information:** Louisiana's 2026 U.S. House elections have reverted from closed party primaries to an open "jungle" primary system.
- Under this system, all candidates appear on a single ballot regardless of party, and the state-administered election does not produce a formal party nominee.
- A candidate's party affiliation on the ballot is an informational designation, not a nomination, and party endorsements do not constitute nominations for purposes of this event.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 615,5 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für LA-04 Republican nominee??
- Kalshi bewertet Mike Johnson mit 9% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird LA-04 Republican nominee? entschieden?
- LA-04 Republican nominee? soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird LA-04 Republican nominee? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.