JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahlKI11MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92%
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Veraltet14. Apr. 25, 18:51 UTC30. Aug. 27, 22:59 UTC
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Will JD Vance be the 2028 Republican nominee for President?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill JD Vance win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExNH-01 Republican nominee?
KalshiRegeln
Being very specific here.
- It's got to be both JD Vance as the nominee, and in his nomination speech he's also got to give a speech where the main topic of the speech is CLEARLY AI. i.e. not just mentioned, but mentioned FIRST if multiple issues are raised; and if multiple issues are mentioned, then impartial textual and emotional analysis should reveal that the major issue he's giving his position on is about AI.
- Deadline: whatever the normal (or rescheduled) republican party is (or the natural successor party, if there is one)
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention entschieden?
- JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention soll am 30. August 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird JD Vance will be the republican nominee for pres in 2028 and gives a major anti-AI speech at the convention abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Being very specific here.