KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nithya Raman, ≥2% 28.6%Führend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1710,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
9. Juli 26, 18:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout
KalshiWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.
- If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)?
- Kalshi bewertet Nithya Raman, ≥2% mit 29% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) entschieden?
- Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.