KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Nithya Raman, ≥2% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Nithya Raman, ≥2% 46.5%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Nithya Raman, ≥2% 46.5%Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
408,5 €
Open Interest
9422,8 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Nithya Raman, ≥2%Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
9. Juli 26, 18:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Nithya Raman, ≥2%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout
KalshiWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Nithya Raman, ≥2%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥4%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 4% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥6%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 6% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥8%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 8% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥12%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥14%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 14% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nithya Raman, ≥16%
- If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 16% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
