Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 65%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet12. Aug. 26, 16:29 UTC4. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExLos Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
KalshiTaoyuan Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketHsinchu City Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves no if she doesn’t advance, or loses in November.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 606,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.045,7 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election? entschieden?
- Will Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election? soll am 4. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves no if she doesn’t advance, or loses in November.