KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Karen Bass, ≥2% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Karen Bass, ≥2% 33%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Karen Bass, ≥2% 33%Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
18,7 €
Open Interest
8268,3 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Karen Bass, ≥2%Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 56 Minuten
Verzogert9. Juli 26, 18:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Karen Bass, ≥2%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout
KalshiWill Karen Bass win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExWhat will be the margin in the Los Angeles mayoral general election?
PredictItWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses. If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Karen Bass, ≥2%
- If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Karen Bass, ≥4%
- If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 4% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Karen Bass, ≥6%
- If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 6% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Karen Bass, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Karen Bass, ≥8%
- If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 8% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
