KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Karen Bass, ≥2% 45%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1864 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
9. Juli 26, 18:00 UTC3. Nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout
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Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsWill Karen Bass win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExLos Angeles Mayoral Election
PolymarketRegeln
If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.
- If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)?
- Kalshi bewertet Karen Bass, ≥2% mit 45% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass) entschieden?
- Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass) soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass) abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.