Israeli legislative election: % of vote below threshold
4.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffWahlNaher Osten3Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 4% · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
At least 4% 89.5%Führend unter 9 Optionen
At least 4% 89.5%Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1266,7 €
Open Interest
3724,3 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 4%Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
22. Okt. 26, 22:00 UTC3. Feb. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 4%
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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KalshiRegeln
If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 6% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Central Elections Committee for the Knesset
- The value is the combined percentage of valid votes cast for all lists that fail the 3.25% electoral threshold in Israel’s October 27, 2026 Knesset election (the lists allocated no seats), calculated as 100 × (the sum of the votes received by those lists ÷ total valid votes) using the per-list vote totals and total valid votes in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results, rounded to two decimal places. Whether a list passes the threshold is decided on unrounded vote totals: a list whose unrounded share is 3.25% or more is not counted, and only the combined value is rounded. A joint list counts as one list. A list that has withdrawn from the race but remains on the ballot is counted if the results record votes for it. Preliminary results do not qualify. Invalid ballots are excluded from the numerator and the denominator. If no qualifying results are released by expiration, the market resolves to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 4%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 4% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 5%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 5% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 6%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 6% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 9%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 9% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 8%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 8% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 2% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 3% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 7%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 7% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 10%
- If the combined share of valid votes cast for lists below the 3.25% electoral threshold in the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset’s first official final results is at least 10% in the October 27, 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.