Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 83%
Nein 83%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1104,4 €
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Sweden snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketSerbian presidential election called by which date?
PolymarketDenmark snap election called by December 31?
PolymarketSaxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketWill a snap election be called in the UK this year?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
KalshiRegeln
This event predicts whether France will officially call a new legislative election at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be an official decree or announcement by the French government or presidency calling new legislative elections.
- If France officially issues a decree or announcement calling new legislative elections during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Speculation, political debate, or non-binding statements will not count.
- If official decrees are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major French or international news organizations.