KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above 1.2% 66%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2629,4 €
Liquidität
2274,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 19:00 UTC2. Nov. 26, 14:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.
Manifold MarketsFreddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
KalshiJapan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
PolymarketFed Decision in September?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed decision in September?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above
Abwicklung über:U.S. Department of the Treasury - TreasuryDirect
- 0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The “fixed rate” refers only to the annual fixed-rate component assigned to Series I savings bonds when issued.
- It does not refer to the semiannual inflation rate or the composite interest rate.
- The reported fixed rate will be used without rounding.
- Subsequent revisions or corrections published after the initial official announcement will not be considered
Offene Märkte
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+9.0pt87.3%
- No change-9.0pt11.8%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 145,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 16,5 Mio. €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+9.0pt84.5%
- Fed maintains rate-9.0pt12.6%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 67,6 Mio. €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+11.0pt80.5%
- Fed maintains rate-16.0pt14.8%
- Hike >25bps-1.0pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change59%
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt36.2%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+2.0pt96%
- Before July 2027+4.0pt95%
- Before 2027+4.0pt92%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
FORECASTEXWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- No87%
- Yes13%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 291.382,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.382,2 €
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in September 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed decision in September?
- How many dissenting votes at the September Fed meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für I bond fixed rate in November 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet Above 1.2% mit 66% (Stand: 15. September 2026).
- Wann wird I bond fixed rate in November 2026 entschieden?
- I bond fixed rate in November 2026 soll am 2. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird I bond fixed rate in November 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above