KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Ja · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Ja 62.5%
Ja 62.5%Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3160,2 €
Open Interest
3967,2 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
JaSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 59 Minuten
Verzogert5. Nov. 26, 03:00 UTC31. Dez. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Ja
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsGovernment shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
KalshiGovernment shutdown by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
- A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable. Shutdown status is recorded at 10:00 AM ET each day. Partial shutdowns are included. A shutdown lasting "at least X days" requires the shutdown to be in effect at 10:00 AM ET on X+1 consecutive days. For example, if a shutdown is first in effect at 10:00 AM ET on October 1, 2026, and remains in effect at 10:00 AM ET on October 2, 2026, the shutdown has lasted at least 1 day. Examples that would count toward the shutdown day count: OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on the relevant date OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency" During an ongoing shutdown, OPM posts a status referencing an Executive Order excusing employees for a holiday, but does not indicate the government has resumed normal operations Examples that would NOT count toward the shutdown day count: A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations Government closures or operating status changes resulting exclusively from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations A shutdown that began before Jan 1, 2027 counts for the days it is in effect from Jan 1, 2027.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Yes
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.
- No
- Die genaue Regel für dieses Ergebnis ist nicht verfügbar.