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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

One-OffPolitikWahlLatin America1J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 6%
Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

1,7 €

Liquidität

18,2 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

1.0% / 10.0%

Spread

900.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

23. Apr. 26, 4:004. Okt. 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

7.0%3Mon
Renan Santos
Renan Santos
+7.0%50%
Romeu Zema
Romeu Zema
-7.0%14%
Ronaldo Caiado
Ronaldo Caiado
-0.5%14%

+29 weitere Ergebnisse

64 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen278.007 €
24h-Volumen1562,9 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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Roberto Sánchez: 6%KalshiKALSHI
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Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?

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Brazil Presidential election winner?

Brazil Presidential election winner?

163 €
Renan Santos: 15%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,625.25+2.40%EthereumETH$1,651.47+1.74%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.45%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.74%XRPXRP$1.12+0.23%BNBBNB$594.50+1.62%

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Regeln

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 3rd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.