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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlLatin America1J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro 67%+1.0%
Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0,9 €

Liquidität

35,6 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

67.0% / 71.0%

Spread

6.0%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

23. Apr. 26, 4:004. Okt. 27, 14:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Aldo Rebelo
Aldo Rebelo
0%
Ciro Gomes
Ciro Gomes
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Flávio Bolsonaro67%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

3Mon
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
+4.0%65%
Renan Santos
Renan Santos
+0.2%17%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
9%

+29 weitere Ergebnisse

73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen3,2 Mio. €
24h-Volumen5209,9 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

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0 €
Lula da Silva, 5-10%: 15%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,909.82+2.43%EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.79%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.68%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.53%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%BNBBNB$596.84+1.85%

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Regeln

If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
  • In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
  • Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
  • Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
  • If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.