KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitFlávio Bolsonaro 78%+2.0%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
17,6 €
Liquidität
6336 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
71.0% / 76.0%
Spread
7.0%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
23. Apr. 26, 4:004. Okt. 27, 14:00
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Flávio Bolsonaro78%
Volumentrend
$202. Juli22T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Brazil Presidential Election
151.528,4 €Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 63%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential election winner?
17.861,6 €Flávio Bolsonaro: 26%KALSHI
KALSHI
New Mexico Governor winner?
6163,4 €Greggory D. Hull: 12%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
2297,1 €Ja: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
2258,2 €Lula da Silva 5-10%: 35%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
215 €FE Brasil: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Aldo Rebelo finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.