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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

7.5% (24h)One-OffPolitikWahl3Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Renan Santos
Renan Santos 50%+7.5%
Führend unter 32 Optionen
Marktqualitat

64 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1562,9 €

Liquidität

250.971,9 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

46.0% / 54.0%

Spread

17.4%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+10.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

11. Feb. 26, 22:474. Okt. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Renan Santos50%

KalshiAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

1J
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
6%
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
+5.0%20%
Aldo Rebelo
Aldo Rebelo
0%

+10 weitere Ergebnisse

28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen35,8 €
24h-Volumen1,7 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regeln

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
  • The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
  • If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
  • This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
  • If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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2028 Democratic presidential nominee

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

4021,4 €
Graham Platner: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Los Angeles mayoral election: Spencer Pratt vote percent (1st round)

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3628,4 €
At least 26%: 2%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,654.90+2.25%EthereumETH$1,650.86+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.62%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.66%XRPXRP$1.12+0.36%BNBBNB$595.23+1.67%

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Regeln

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
  • The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
  • If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
  • This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
  • If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".