KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine Handelsaktivität
Daten vom 08.09.2026, 22:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above $215,000 0%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntSpread
5.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
29. Aug. 26, 21:30 UTC21. Mai 27, 13:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
NYC median asking rent in December 2026
KalshiDid US Real Median Household Income Increase in 2023?
Manifold MarketsWill the Zillow's Rentals Data indicate a decrease in San Francisco's median rent at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the median new home sales price exceed $410,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the median new home sales price exceed $430,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the median new home sales price exceed $340,000 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
If the the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:National Association for Law Placement
- The Underlying is the national median first-year associate base salary reported for the largest law-firm-size category in NALP’s 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey. “Largest law-firm-size category” means the category in NALP’s national firm-size breakdown with the highest minimum number of lawyers.
- For example, the largest category in the 2025 survey was firms with more than 700 lawyers.
- If NALP changes its firm-size categories in the 2027 survey, the largest category reported by NALP will be used.
- Resolution will use base salary only.
- Bonuses, benefits, summer-associate compensation, clerkship bonuses, total compensation, and inflation adjustments will not be considered.
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.705,7 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 77.923 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5527,9 €
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Median Big Law starting salary in 2027?
- Kalshi bewertet Above $215,000 mit 0% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 entschieden?
- Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 soll am 21. Mai 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Median Big Law starting salary in 2027 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the the median first-year associate base salary for the largest law-firm-size category in the 2027 U.S. Associate Salary Survey is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.