KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Apr 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Before Apr 1, 2027 49%Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
88,9 €
Open Interest
134 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Apr 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
16. Okt. 26, 16:08 UTC1. Apr. 27, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Apr 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
KalshiEd Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiWill Scott Bessent leave the position of Secretary of Treasury by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho of Howard Lutnick and Scott Bessent will be fired first?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Scott BessentThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe Department of the Treasurythe White HouseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Being considered for or named to another position does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Scott Bessent will cease to be Secretary of the Treasury. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Scott Bessent leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of the Treasury before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
