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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Trade Policy
  3. Will Trump lower beef tariffs?
Will Trump lower beef tariffs?

Will Trump lower beef tariffs?

5.0% (24h)One-OffTrade PolicyUS PoliticsPolitikWahl19T
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 9%-5.0%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0,2 €

Liquidität

24,5 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

5.0% / 9.0%

Spread

80.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

16. Mai 26, 21:001. Juli 26, 3:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Jul 1, 20269%

Regeln

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
  • Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
  • Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
  • The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
  • If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

47,5 €
Before 2027: 11%KalshiKALSHI
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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
  • Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
  • Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
  • The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
  • If Donald Trump has taken any executive action lowering tariffs on beef imports (incl. suspension of tariff-rate quotas) before Jun 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.