KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
39.7 to 39.9 56%+18.0ptFührend unter 8 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
79 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
36.138,2 €
Liquidität
83.061 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
28. Aug. 26, 15:004. Sept. 26, 15:00
Trends
Regeln
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:RealClearPolitics
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 38.8 and 39.0% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.1 and 39.3% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.4 and 39.6% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.7 and 39.9% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
Politics
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.1pt36.5%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio+1.3pt19%
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+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva54.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt42.6%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 181,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet 39.7 to 39.9 mit 56% (Stand: 4. September 2026).
- Wann wird Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? entschieden?
- Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? soll am 4. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Trump's approval rating on Sep 4, 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.