FutuurGeschlossenVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenDieser Markt wurde entschieden: No (95%)
Entschieden: 05.10.2026, 15:36
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Daten vom 04.10.2026, 13:29 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election Winner
Manifold Markets2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
Manifold MarketsWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
FutuurBrazil Presidential election winner?
KalshiRegeln
This market predicts whether the 2026 Brazilian presidential election will be decided in the first round of voting scheduled for October 4, 2026.
- Under Brazilian electoral law, a candidate is elected President in the first round only if they receive more than 50% of the valid votes cast.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) for resolution will be the official election results published by Brazil’s Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE).
- If any candidate receives more than 50% of valid votes in the first round and is officially declared elected President by the TSE without a runoff election being required, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If official TSE publications are unavailable or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from credible Brazilian and international news organizations.