FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 93%
Nein 93%Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
1114,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PolymarketErdoğan out by which date?
PolymarketUkraine war ends in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This event predicts whether the United States will formally announce its withdrawal from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a qualifying announcement means a formal notification consistent with Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official communications from the U.S. government, including statements by the President or formal diplomatic notifications.
- If the United States formally announces its withdrawal from NATO during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The mandatory one-year notice period does not need to conclude within the market period for a "Yes" resolution; only the formal announcement is required.
