FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Greater than 3.75% 71%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Greater than 3.75% 71%Marktqualitat
39 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
6987,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätTrader
32
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
KalshiOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Manifold MarketsWill the 30 year mortgage interest rate exceed 6.5 for the week ending in October 29, 2026? (home loans) (borrowing costs) (housing market)?
ForecastExWill the 15 year mortgage interest rate exceed 5.9 for the week ending in October 29, 2026? (home loans) (borrowing costs) (housing market)?
ForecastExWill the Bank of Japan have a negative interest rate again before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event predicts the United Kingdom’s basic interest rate (Bank Rate) as set by the Bank of England (BoE).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is the Bank of England, using official Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) statements and publications released on bankofengland.co.uk.
- The relevant value is the Bank Rate in effect following the BoE’s monetary policy meeting scheduled for December 17, 2026.
- If the Bank of England changes its monetary policy framework or significantly alters how the policy rate is set or communicated, Futuur will use the most comparable official figure to determine resolution.
- If the BoE’s announcement is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from official BoE records or a clear consensus of reporting by major financial news organizations such as Reuters or Bloomberg citing BoE data.
- The markets will resolve according to the substantive policy outcome and market intent, not minor wording or formatting differences; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.
