Güncel ima edilen olasılık
#10 97%-0.5%4 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
91 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺33,8 B
Likidite
₺2 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
95.9% / 97.1%
Spread
1.3%
Dar spread7g Değişim
-2.2%
Piyasa verileri
5 dakika önce guncellendi
2 Nis 26 21:5731 Ara 26 0:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
#1097%
Platformları karşılaştır· #10
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Yüksek | 97% | — | ₺33,8 B | ₺2 Mn | 5 dakika önce | |
 Kalshi%82 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Yüksek | 83% | — | ₺15 B | ₺1,8 Mn | 25 dakika önce | Aç → |
Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
2.0%5ay
83%
-2.0%17%
80 • Yüksek kaliteOrta spreadYüksek likidite
Toplam Hacim₺5,3 Mn
24s Hacim₺15 B
KALSHIKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
- This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$7143 Tem24g veri26 Tem
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
- This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.