Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Google 56%+9.5%14 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
80 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺27,3 B
Likidite
₺3,5 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
54.0% / 58.0%
Spread
7.4%
Orta spread7g Değişim
-1.0%
Piyasa verileri
1 dakika önce guncellendi
30 Nis 26 19:3031 Ara 26 0:00
Trendler
Seçilen sonuç
Google56%
Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
4.0%6ay
-4.0%16%
-5.0%20%
-2.0%48%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
28 • Düşük kaliteGeniş spreadDüşük likiditeSığ piyasa
Toplam Hacim₺118,8 B
24s Hacim₺339,3
KALSHIKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
İlgili Piyasalar
Which company has best AI model end of July?
₺1,1 MnAnthropic: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich company has second best AI model end of June?
₺423,8 BAnthropic: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which company has the #2 AI model end of July? (Style Control On)
₺342,6 BAnthropic: 61%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
By when will Google add ads to Gemini?
₺33,5 BBy Jan 1, 2026: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAnthropic flips Apple before 2030?
₺25,1 BEvet: 36%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSBu konularda aktif
İlgili Haberler
Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto News
EU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto News
JPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto News
OpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.News
OpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraph
Nvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto NewsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.